Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.781373 28.195423 33.689790 41.219700 51.595119 6.593684e+01 88.386355
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.960008 24.035653 31.088818 42.183872 60.502778 9.268637e+01 164.098423
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.633845 20.566412 27.865897 40.360683 63.653856 1.127809e+02 263.869071
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.770065 18.656417 26.267705 40.271898 69.450236 1.436227e+02 489.620371
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.047233 16.618272 23.968310 38.134799 69.969576 1.630361e+02 809.550168
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.565284 14.735089 21.572907 35.144994 67.195457 1.705823e+02 1190.685652
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.461189 13.320234 19.756769 32.866510 65.245091 1.800006e+02 1906.601741
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.646181 14.010157 21.715105 38.880341 88.912373 3.538635e+02 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.363205 13.865877 22.108789 41.601884 105.660493 5.942885e+02 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.608293 12.815460 20.594373 39.301432 102.986357 6.530765e+02 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.331708 12.586721 20.675853 41.081758 118.230729 1.146980e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.923635 12.078402 20.114276 41.010696 125.752101 1.757464e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.520772 11.575230 19.564296 41.044395 135.466713 3.285241e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.213607 11.224734 19.298856 41.874464 151.517103 1.070682e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.758966 10.555458 18.251993 40.058634 149.748742 1.928013e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.462884 10.167302 17.786358 39.969545 160.192523 3.898261e+05 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.068819 9.561336 16.765364 37.856064 153.942900 4.741167e+06 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.652632 8.890012 15.544621 34.898377 139.463400 2.601249e+05 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.308053 8.342524 14.571843 32.643483 129.603287 1.476111e+05 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.470678 8.796531 15.941816 38.593379 197.287149 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.422349 8.825133 16.317401 41.284272 248.810243 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.143926 8.366805 15.454017 39.009795 232.985642 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 5.066109 8.316251 15.598864 40.770083 280.740772 NaN NaN